{"id":293,"date":"2024-07-04T07:10:55","date_gmt":"2024-07-04T07:10:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=293"},"modified":"2024-07-04T07:10:55","modified_gmt":"2024-07-04T07:10:55","slug":"india-election-news-modi-html","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=293","title":{"rendered":"India\u2019s Cable News Predicted a Big Modi Win. How Did They Get It So Wrong?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Through the months of India\u2019s sprawling national election season, the country\u2019s hundreds of cable news outlets all seemed to be trying to outdo each other: They predicted that Prime Minister Narendra Modi would win, and win big.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The actual election results on June 4, however, saw his fortunes plummet so low that he secured another term only with the help of coalition partners.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It was a shocking result to many, and now India finds itself wondering why so few foresaw the popularity of an opposition movement. Some outlets had predicted that Mr. Modi\u2019s Bharatiya Janata Party, or B.J.P., would win as many as 400 of the 543 available seats in Parliament, but in the end, it won only 240.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Many see the disparity as a sign of how thoroughly the prime minister had cowed the mainstream media, and how his control of the information system had grown so complete that the hype obscured voters\u2019 true sentiments. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">During Mr. Modi\u2019s decade in office, a mix of pressures and incentives turned mainstream news channels into cheerleaders of his every move. They presented the powerful prime minister as an unstoppable leader, too overwhelming for any opponent to challenge. Debating him on policy, or even on his delivery of his promises, was out of the question.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Many reporters at established news outlets embraced what Mr. Modi had normalized: taking pride in his Hindu-first vision of India. Those who investigated the unsavory side of his tenure, including independent <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thehindu.com\/news\/national\/centre-for-policy-research-wrath-of-the-state\/article67760485.ece\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">bodies<\/a> that sharply critiqued his policies, were ostracized, raided or otherwise forced to surrender.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When exit polls emerged on election night, one channel even declared that Mr. Modi\u2019s alliance was winning 30 Parliament seats in a state that had only 25. Another anchor seemed to ridicule his own network\u2019s reporters for suggesting there had been discontent over economic stress.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That the vast majority of outlets were far off the mark in their projections suggested one of two things, analysts said: Indian citizens were too afraid to speak their minds, or too suspicious of the broadcast media to trust them with their real opinions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cMedia was actually campaigning for the ruling party,\u201d said Yogendra Yadav, a political activist and a veteran election analyst, adding, \u201cThey are a blot on our democracy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Modi and the mainstream media underestimated just how much of the information space had moved outside the bubble they had created, analysts said. As the mainstream outlets have lost credibility, a parallel system of online <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/elections\/lok-sabha\/india\/the-youtube-election-social-media-emerges-as-key-player-in-indian-polls\/articleshow\/110041707.cms?from=mdr\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">news<\/a> reporters with a more independent outlook has grown.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In fact, much of the election was playing out on the internet. Opposition figures found online spaces to be vital outlets for airing criticism of Mr. Modi, who they say has made India less democratic and more unequal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe centrist journalism is missing, and it is a loss for this country,\u201d said Saurabh Shukla, a co-founder of The Red Mike, a YouTube channel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Shukla, an award-winning reporter who left his job at a news station to start his YouTube channel with another journalist, said there was a clear contrast between what was being shown on TV news and what he and many other journalists saw on the ground.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In a sign that even Mr. Modi was becoming aware of the disparity, he sent his ministers to engage with YouTube channels to discuss the accomplishments of his party. At times, he even trolled the mainstream media that was singing his praises.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIf you are in the media, and if you are waving a Modi flag in devotion \u2014 who will keep you?\u201d the prime minister said to four interviewers from a New Delhi-based media organization. <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">With a population of 1.4 billion, India has more than over 350 news broadcasters across 880 satellite TV channels. It also has the most YouTube users in the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Since gaining independence in 1947, India had built a reputation for having a vast and independent-leaning media culture, interrupted only by the months of emergency and censorship imposed by Prime Minister Indira Gandhi in the mid-1970s.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That independent streak has been changing over the years of Mr. Modi\u2019s leadership, though, as leaders in his Hindu-nationalist bloc have found a host of ways to apply pressure to keep media groups in line.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Reporters and editors critical of the government started leaving traditional news outlets, moving online one after the other. Unlike television news channels that spent hours on Mr. Modi during the campaigning period, this band of independent reporters talked about people, their stories and their problems.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Among them is Ravish Kumar. After leaving his prime-time news anchor job, Mr. Kumar started <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@ravishkumar.official\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">broadcasting<\/a> on YouTube. For months he has focused on issues like rising rural unemployment and loopholes in competitive exams that have pushed hundreds of thousands of students to join protest marches.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">While Mr. Kumar, whom more than a million people watch almost every day, questioned Mr. Modi about using religious polarization to win votes instead of talking about his developmental track record, his peers on TV news were using prime time to attack Mr. Modi\u2019s opponents.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Network news anchors used their interview time with Mr. Modi largely to lob softball questions unrelated to national issues, such as \u201cIs this election a formality?\u201d or \u201cWhy don\u2019t you get tired?\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Another independent journalist, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@AjitAnjumOfficial\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Ajit Anjum<\/a>, reported on voters\u2019 anger toward a federal minister after spending <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=efY1tMBsywU&amp;t=1144s\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">days<\/a> in the minister\u2019s constituency in the state of Uttar Pradesh. Many news channels predicted she would win in a landslide, but she was trounced by her low-key rival, a longtime campaign manager for leaders of the opposition. It was another accurate projection from an independent YouTube news channel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cYouTube has given a tough time to B.J.P. and its media supporters,\u201d said Mr. Shukla, the journalist. As more election results emerged, a growing number of viewers seemed to turn to online news viewership for follow-up coverage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Several independent media organizations <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=WMcCs5DNa1c\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">came together<\/a> for their own election-night coverage, and many Indians followed them online for more sober analysis than they were getting from shouting matches on TV news.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It\u2019s unclear whether the sudden rush to independent journalism will stick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI don\u2019t know if this will continue,\u201d said Mandeep Punia, a freelance journalist. He added that while more people are watching his content, a new law has made it easier for the government to censor online stories.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Challenges from the government notwithstanding, online news providers earned a leg up in trustworthiness during this election cycle. Their accuracy in forecasting the results stood in stark contrast to how cable news networks\u2019 predictions fared.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Yadav, the political activist, said after traveling around India\u2019s Hindi-speaking north, home to the traditional base of Mr. Modi\u2019s party, that he expected the B.J.P. to win no more than 260 seats. Few believed his estimate, especially among television news commentators. But he was right.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Through the months of India\u2019s sprawling national election season, the country\u2019s hundreds of cable news outlets all seemed to be trying to outdo each other: They predicted that Prime Minister&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":294,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>India\u2019s Cable News Predicted a Big Modi Win. 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