{"id":3730,"date":"2025-03-14T19:02:29","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T19:02:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=3730"},"modified":"2025-03-14T19:02:29","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T19:02:29","slug":"opinion-a-small-but-important-risk-in-trumps-tariff-games","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=3730","title":{"rendered":"Opinion | A Small but Important Risk in Trump\u2019s Tariff Games"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">President Trump\u2019s bully-ball trade tactics are built on his belief that other countries need us more than we need them. Americans are the world\u2019s biggest shoppers, and Trump is betting that stores need customers more than customers need any particular store.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But in one important respect, the United States is the store that needs customers. The government is heavily reliant on foreign buyers of federal debt. Between 2021 and 2023, 45 percent of the increase in federal borrowing <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.govinfo.gov\/content\/pkg\/ERP-2025\/pdf\/ERP-2025-chapter6.pdf\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">was drawn from foreign pockets<\/a>, and most of that money came from private investors, not other governments.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">People in countries targeted by Trump\u2019s tariffs already are boycotting made-in-America products like <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/europe\/20250314-europeans-boycott-us-products-to-protest-against-trump-tariffs\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Teslas<\/a> and Tennessee <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fooddive.com\/news\/jack-daniels-brown-forman-canada-tariffs-taken-off-shelves-stores-ontario-alcohol-bourbon-trump\/741920\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">whiskey<\/a>. If they sour on Treasuries, too, Americans will feel the pain. When demand for Treasuries weakens, the government has to pay higher interest rates to woo investors, leaving less money for everything else.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Trump is angering the rest of the world even as the United States needs its money more than ever. Federal spending is on the rise despite Trump\u2019s decimations of the federal work force, and projected revenues will take a big hit if Republicans extend Trump\u2019s 2017 tax cuts. The federal debt, measured as a share of national economic output, is <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/publication\/60870\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">on track<\/a> to surpass the record levels of World War II. And European countries, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/germany-ukraine-debt-brake-economy-military-spending-74be8e96d8515ddddd53a99a69957651\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">led by Germany<\/a>, are increasing their borrowing, intensifying competition for <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2025-03-06\/the-big-financing-shift-from-the-us-to-germany?sref=B3uFyqJT\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">investment<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The popularity of Treasuries will not be shaken easily. They are readily available, widely regarded as safe and woven into the fabric of the global financial system. When Trump vaguely <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/politics\/trump-suggests-us-may-have-less-debt-than-thought-because-fraud\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">suggested<\/a> in early February that the government might not pay all of its debts, markets ignored him. So far bond investors are treating Trump\u2019s return to power with much greater equanimity than investors in stocks. There is no sign the government is paying an interest rate premium for the president\u2019s behavior.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But small risks demand attention when the potential consequences are big enough. An increase of even 0.1 percentage points in the average interest rate on federal debt would cost more than $300 billion over the next decade, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/publication\/60239#_idTextAnchor015\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">according<\/a> to the Congressional Budget Office.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It\u2019s often said that presidents have limited power over the economy, but it\u2019s more accurate to say that they have limited power to increase growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">They have a lot more power to break things.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Trump\u2019s bully-ball trade tactics are built on his belief that other countries need us more than we need them. Americans are the world\u2019s biggest shoppers, and Trump is betting&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":533,"featured_media":2781,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[7],"tags":[1621,2667,57,1277,2827,874,750],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Opinion | A Small but Important Risk in Trump\u2019s Tariff Games - Frisco Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=3730\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Opinion | A Small but Important Risk in Trump\u2019s Tariff Games - Frisco Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"President Trump\u2019s bully-ball trade tactics are built on his belief that other countries need us more than we need them. 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