{"id":6799,"date":"2025-11-14T17:57:01","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T17:57:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=6799"},"modified":"2025-11-22T03:44:04","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T03:44:04","slug":"theres-no-evidence-china-is-buying-all-the-u-s-soybeans-it-promised-under-trumps-trade-deal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=6799","title":{"rendered":"There’s ‘no evidence’ China is buying all the U.S. soybeans it promised under Trump’s trade deal"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

With just one and a half months to go before the year ends, China still hasn\u2019t ramped up purchases of U.S. soybeans under a trade agreement made with President Donald Trump a few weeks ago.<\/p>\n

\n

After he met with Chinese President Xi Jinping at a regional economic summit in South Korea, the White House said Beijing committed<\/a> to buying\u00a0at least 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans during the final two months of 2025 and buying at least 25 million tons annually in 2026, 2027, and 2028.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That\u2019s after China hadn\u2019t placed any orders for U.S. soybeans this harvest season amid the trade war with Trump, creating panic among farmers who had relied on the world\u2019s second largest economy as their top export market.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Beijing has turned to Brazil and Argentina for soybeans, which are also cheaper as they don\u2019t face retaliatory Chinese tariffs. Now, China has imported so much supply from South America it has a glut of soybeans.<\/p>\n

Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist at StoneX, said in a note on Tuesday<\/a> the latest data from China \u201cprovided no evidence to support the notion that there will be a substantial increase in state purchases to meet the 12 million metric ton commitment for calendar year 2025 as stated by the White House.\u201d<\/p>\n

China\u2019s soybean processors have purchased about 40 million tons from South America this season and \u201chave zero financial incentive\u201d to buy more U.S. soybeans, he added. <\/p>\n

Such purchases would have to come from state buyers for China\u2019s reserve, but there\u2019s very little indication that they are on track to buy 12 million tons by year\u2019s end or 25 million next year, Suderman warned.<\/p>\n

In fact, China\u2019s oversupply of South American soybeans has slashed prices more than 20% from an April peak in key coastal Chinese regions, according to Mysteel data cited by Reuters<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Despite the glut, private importers are still booking soybean shipments from Brazil for next month, traders told Reuters.<\/p>\n

Non-compliance with terms of the deal reached in Korea could reignite the U.S.-China trade war, which earlier saw Trump threaten to impose an additional 100% tariff on Beijing in response to strict export controls on rare earths.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe administration expects our trading partners to adhere to their deal commitments,\u201d a U.S. official told Fortune<\/em>. \u201cThe president reserves the right to adjust tariff rates, export controls, and other concessions to \u2060hold our trading partners accountable to their deal commitments.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cRecently, China\u2019s ministry of commerce has released relevant information on the China-US economic and trade consultations in Kuala Lumpur, introducing the main outcomes and consensus reached during the consultations. These include agricultural trade,\u201d said Liu Pengyu, a spokesman for China\u2019s embassy in the U.S.<\/p>\n

\u201cChina is an important participant in global agricultural trade and will continue to uphold an attitude of openness and cooperation, deepening mutually beneficial cooperation with global trading partners and jointly maintaining an open, stable and sustainable global trading system.\u201d<\/p>\n

StoneX\u2019s Suderman noted China appears to be complying with other parts of the trade deal, namely limiting exports of components used to produce fentanyl.<\/p>\n

Those export curbs cleared the way for Trump to lower his fentanyl-related tariff on China to 10% from 20%. Beijing has suggested removing that remaining 10% is necessary for it to reverse its own retaliatory duty on U.S. agricultural commodities, Suderman explained.<\/p>\n

\u201cUnfortunately, time is running out for the removal of that 10% tariff to make much of a difference in the purchase of U.S. soybeans, with cheaper new crop Brazilian supplies already booked to start arriving at Chinese ports in February,\u201d he added. \u201cThe door hasn\u2019t closed yet for U.S. soybeans, but we\u2019re getting very close to that point.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With just one and a half months to go before the year ends, China still hasn\u2019t ramped up purchases of U.S. soybeans under a trade agreement made with President Donald…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":6800,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[6],"tags":[2062,909,84,1252,4055,7905,913,750,668],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\nThere's 'no evidence' China is buying all the U.S. soybeans it promised under Trump's trade deal - Frisco Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\""The door hasn\u2019t closed yet for U.S. soybeans, but we\u2019re getting very close to that point."\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/friscotimes.org\/?p=6799\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"There's 'no evidence' China is buying all the U.S. soybeans it promised under Trump's trade deal - 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